Even as stock investors cheer signs of inflation peaking, the bond market’s best-known predictor of recessions is showing its clearest signal yet that there is trouble ahead for the U.S. economy. It’s ...
The yield curve is often seen as one of the better early warning indicators for a recession. Since 2022, the yield curve is inverted again and warning of a recession which has not happened so far, ...
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - A crucial part of the U.S. yield curve has inverted, bringing with it a robust warning of a coming U.S. recession (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) U.S. government 3-month ...
Cam Harvey, a professor at Duke University, downplays the risk of recession currently forecast by the negative spread of the 3-month yield less its 10-year counterpart. The yield curve (and its ...
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